Economics 001

So I was reading Joan Walsh’s Salon column about her Twitter war with Saddleback Mega-Church pastor Rick Warren.  The more I read, the more irritated I got because it served to further demonstrate just how ignorant and disconnected from reality conservatives are.  It’s like they’ve never taken a single Econ class in their lives.

In her column, Walsh reprints a letter written to the Salon “letters” section by Warren in response to their Twitter exchange.  In his letter, Warren promotes a conservative economic viewpoint, in effect calling for less government, lower taxes, and bigger handouts to the wealthy.  “My view is that a better solution to increasing revenue is to focus instead on incentivizing JOB CREATION which will spur both consumer spending AND tax revenue,” he writes.

This is typical conservative nonsense, and is indicative of the lack of understanding on the part of big ‘C’ Conservatives/Republicans on the basic concepts of economics.  This isn’t even Economics 101.  It’s Economics 001.

It’s the basic economic principle of supply and demand:  Businesses produce just enough to meet demand.  The greater the demand, the more a business will supply.  The lesser the demand, the lesser the supply.  Businesses cannot make money by creating a massive quantity of products that no one wants—or can afford.  And that’s the crux of the problem.

Economies grow due to increasing demand for what they produce, and right now in the Unites States demand is very low.  Why?  Because unemployment is high, and people don’t have any extra money to spend on products and services that they may want, but don’t need and can’t afford.  Hell, they barely have enough money to purchase the bare essentials, let alone luxury items.  And while the cost of living went up during the Bush administration, real wages remained stagnant, meaning that average Americans were stuck spending an ever greater proportion of their earnings on just basic needs—like housing and food—and leaving less for discretionary spending.  With less discretionary spending, the economy slows down and eventually grinds to a halt.

With little or no demand for the products and services they provide, businesses are forced to cut back, often meaning employee layoffs.  More employee layoffs means higher unemployment.  Higher unemployment means even less discretionary spending—in fact it means even less money available for even the bare essentials.  Which only serves to further exacerbate the overall economic problems.

Now, I may not be a trained economist, but I have had a few Economics classes during my high school and college careers, and this is pretty simple stuff.  And this is why Republican “trickle down” economic theory is so puzzling to me.  Businesses create enough products and provide enough services to meet the demand for those products and services.  When demand increases, businesses increase supply.  Sometimes businesses have to expand in order to meet that increased demand.  And they expand by hiring more workers; by hiring more workers and increasing their output, it means that they have to purchase more supplies, which in turn fosters the growth of their suppliers, which means that their suppliers will in turn have to hire more workers to meet their increased demand.  And on it goes.

Businesses cannot and do not increase supply for the sake of increasing supply.  It’s back assward.  By producing too much, businesses actually lose money because they cannot sell what they’ve created.  And when they have an excess of inventory, there is no need to continue to make more goods and provide more services.  When there is no longer any need to make more goods and provide more services, businesses find it necessary to cut back on their expenses, which usually means eliminating part of their workforce.

“Incentivizing JOB CREATION” as Warren says is a complete waste of time and energy.  Businesses are not able to create jobs that they have no need for.  There must be a rise in demand for the products and services they provide, which will in turn incentivize job creation on its own.  See how that works?

The problem we have is that there is no demand.  There is no demand because people don’t have any money.  Businesses cannot and will not expand for the sake of expanding.  It’s counterintuitive:  You don’t invest money when you have little to no chance of making that investment back.  And when businesses can’t expand, and individuals and families can’t spend, there is only one entity left that can spend.  And this is the premise of Keynesian Economics.

Keynesian theory holds that when individuals and businesses cannot spend and cannot grow, then it is incumbent on government to provide that spending to spark growth and economic expansion.  In fact, governments become the only entities capable of sparking that growth.  It was Keynesian theory that was employed by President Franklin Delano Roosevelt to pull the United States out of the Great Depression.  Programs like the Works Progress Administration and the Civilian Conservation Corps provided jobs for a large proportion of the massive number of unemployed.

WPA and CCC employees in turn provided a valuable service by constructing public buildings and roads, and creating hundreds of national parks.  WPA and CCC employees were also provided with money in their pockets to spend, which went into local economies and created demand for more goods and services.  (Then there was, of course, the ultimate public works program known as World War II, which only further proves Keynesian theory.)

Keynesian theory says that governments should keep spending until such time as the economy can stand and grow on its own, at which time governments can begin to reduce their spending.  And as private investment grows, government investment can further recede.

It was trickle down—or supply side—economics that has slowly but surely ground this economy to a pulp over the last 30 years.  It was Keynesian theory that rescued the United States during the Great Depression.  The Keynesian model works; the Republican supply side model does not.  It’s time to start listening to the experts, and start ignoring the fools.

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